Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Detroit Pistons vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has made a whopping 39.2% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 30.6 rate last year.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year when playing on the road.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 61.1% of his foul shots this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.2 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 24.5 foul shots per game this year at home (10th-least [IN_THE_LEAGUE]).
The matchup against the Pistons is a difficult one; while at home they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (119.7).
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year on the road when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.

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