Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has converted a whopping 39.2% of his three-pointers this year, significantly higher than his 30.6 mark last year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 42.9% of his foul shots without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Larry Nance Jr. has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the Wizards may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing squads have attempted a measly 23.3 free throws per game since the start of last season while playing at home (6th-least in the league).
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season.

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