Larry Nance Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 7:14 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 3.8 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
The Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. will likely see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

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