LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2026

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Apr 14, 2026

Updated Apr 14, 2026 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has scored 27.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.9 more than he's scored overall this year.
The Heat have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost possessions for the Hornets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank best in in the NBA while on their home court with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

In terms of shooting, the Hornets's poor 45.9% field goal percentage with the home court advantage measures as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 30.9% on threes (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat, creating a difficult matchup.
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Heat are the visiting squad (7th-least in the NBA).

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