LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2026

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NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 10, 2026

Updated Apr 10, 2026 6:48 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-133/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has compiled 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's compiled in all games this year.
The Hornets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Detroit is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.7 free throws per game this year when the Pistons are the visiting squad (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Hornets check in as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have shot 37.4% on shots from the field (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, creating a hard matchup.
The slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Hornets.
The Pistons have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer plays for the Charlotte Hornets.