LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2026

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NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets · Apr 5, 2026

Updated Apr 5, 2026 7:05 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Hornets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Charlotte Hornets's poor 18.9 free throws per game without the home court advantage ranks 2nd-worst in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).