LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 21, 2026 6:18 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.1 free throws per game this year (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

In regard to shooting, the Hornets's poor 114.4 points per game when playing at home measures as the 10th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have notched 17.0 points per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.