LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2026

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Mar 17, 2026

Updated Mar 17, 2026 4:19 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The Heat have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Charlotte Hornets's feeble 108.2 points per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Hornets.