LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2026

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Boston Celtics vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 4, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a good one for threes; opposing starting PGs have tallied the most three-point shots per game in the league this year (3.0).
The Charlotte Hornets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been bad at getting to the free-throw line recently: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road, averaging a lowly 18.5 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the NBA).