LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 3, 2026 9:48 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which should boost opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets rank best in in the league with 14.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Hornets's subpar 45.2% field goal rate with the home court advantage settles in as the weakest in the NBA this year.
The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.