LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2026

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 28, 2026

Updated Jan 29, 2026 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have notched 22.8 points per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, creating a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home.
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost plays for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 25.2 clip, LaMelo Ball's points per game have decreased this year to 19.1.
With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Hornets's feeble 17.6 foul shots per game away from home comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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