LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2025

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 29, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Hornets's fantastic 121.8 points per game playing at home places 5th-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have scored 21.7 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.2 free throws per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 25.2 rate, LaMelo Ball's points per game have decreased this season to 19.6.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league on their home court this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Charlotte Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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