LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has attempted 22.4 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted overall this season.
LaMelo Ball has attempted 10.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
In terms of shooting, the Hornets's exceptional 47.4% field goal percentage when playing away from home places 7th-best in the NBA over the last 18 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 50.2% on shot attempts from the field (30th-highest in the league) against the Spurs, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

LaMelo Ball has tallied 3.7 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA away from home with only 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
LaMelo Ball will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.