LaMelo Ball Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 6:07 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has totaled 33.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's totaled overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, LaMelo Ball comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 34.2 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 48.7% on threes (28th-best in the league) against the Magic, making this a good matchup.
The 7th-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Hornets.
The Magic have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise plays for the Hornets.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 10.6 rate, LaMelo Ball's three-point attempts have been reduced this season to 9.4 per game.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
LaMelo Ball will likely experience a decrease in output across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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