LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 6:49 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 9.0 rate, LaMelo Ball's 3-point attempts have risen this year to 13.0 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against Orlando is a good one for threes; when the Magic are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (42.3%).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out best in the league without the home court advantage with 14.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 3.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Hornets's unimpressive 31.2% rate of successful threes settles in as the 6th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Magic have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.
LaMelo Ball figures to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.