LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Made 3 Point Shots

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, LaMelo Ball registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 32.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the 24th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (6.0).
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 11thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
While at home, the Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 4.0 clip, LaMelo Ball's three-pointers scored have tailed off this season to 2.9 per game.
LaMelo Ball has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Charlotte Hornets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league away from home this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Hornets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).

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