LaMelo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has averaged 9.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
LaMelo Ball has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.
The Hornets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
LaMelo Ball figures to get a boost in efficiency across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball registers in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Hornets have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Hornets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).

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