LaMelo Ball Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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LaMelo Ball

NBA · Player Props

LaMelo Ball

G · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

LaMelo Ball Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LaMelo Ball has averaged 8.5 assists per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
LaMelo Ball has averaged 34.0 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Hornets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, LaMelo Ball registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 3.3 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
LaMelo Ball will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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