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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has sunk 54.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 13.0% more than he's made over the course of the season.

The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers are at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (15.6).

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

Over the last 20 games, the other team has captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry comes in at the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game while on the road this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kyle Lowry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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