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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has converted 2.2 3-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.

Kyle Lowry has played 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 75th percentile.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 42.3% on 3-pointers (25th-best in the NBA) against the Magic, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has made 39.3% of his field goals this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Magic is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year (11th-least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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