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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has registered 14.0 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 4.2 higher than he's registered overall this season at home.

Kyle Lowry has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home.

The Miami Heat have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, finding it easy to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Kyle Lowry slots into the 88th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.8 fouls per game this year.

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a tough one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (13.9).

The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Chicago Bulls have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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