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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has made 55.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing on the road.

With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 39.4% rate of sunk threes on the road settles in as the highest in the league this year.

The 9th-fastest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

Kyle Lowry has successfully made an impressive 91.7% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit higher than his 94.9 mark last year.

Kyle Lowry is expected to see a rise in output for all stats in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The matchup against Chicago is a hard one; when the Bulls are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (13.8).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has brought down 10.9 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Bulls (continuing possessions that can generate further chances for offense).

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