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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's terrific 40.1% rate of sunk threes settles in as the 5th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a tough one for shots from the field; their opposition has posted the 6th-lowest FG% in the league since the start of last season (46.5%).

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 6.4 three attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, identifying this as a strong matchup.

The 10th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Heat.

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Lowry ranks in the 94th percentile for free-throw ability with a a remarkable 88.8% rate since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Kyle Lowry slots into the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for failed threes while playing at home, logging a massive 3.0 per game since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the league, Kyle Lowry comes in at the 75th percentile for technical fouls, logging an enormous 0.1 fouls per game while at home since the start of last season.

The Heat check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

On their home court, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Los Angeles may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are the visiting team (21st-least in the NBA).

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