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Kyle Lowry

Kyle Lowry Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Kyle Lowry Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kyle Lowry has converted 47.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 5.7% more than he's converted over the course of the season when playing on the road.

Kyle Lowry has tallied 29.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 28th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (38.1%).

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (85th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the NBA).

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