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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 1/11/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kristaps Porzingis has notched 19.8 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 87th percentile.
  • Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
  • The faceoff with Brook Lopez slots into only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs hitting a colossal 0.9 shots from downtown per game this year when they are playing on the road.
  • The Boston Celtics will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.
  • Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 12.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
  • The showdown with Brook Lopez in regard to getting to the foul line places in the 13th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a mere 2.7 free throws per game this year.
  • Kristaps Porzingis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.

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