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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing teams have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark additional opportunities for offense).

Kristaps Porzingis has made 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's converted overall this year when playing at home.

Kristaps Porzingis stands to see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 23.2 mark, Kristaps Porzingis's points per game have regressed this season to 19.1.

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 3.0 fouls per game while at home this year.

The matchup against Orlando is a hard one for threes; when the Magic are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.1).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against the Magic is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting Cs have attempted a mere 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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