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Khris Middleton

Khris Middleton Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

Khris Middleton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Khris Middleton has tallied 4.3 rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 75th percentile.

The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Khris Middleton places in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.3 fouls per game this year.

The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).

Khris Middleton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production across the board.

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