Khris Middleton Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has totaled 6.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.6 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season at home.
Khris Middleton has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Khris Middleton will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).

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