Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 27, 2026

Updated Feb 27, 2026 8:33 PM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has averaged 14.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Dallas Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Mavericks.
The Grizzlies have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 9.7 shot attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the NBA).