Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 16.4 clip, Khris Middleton's points per game have jumped this year to 13.7.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Celtics, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 4th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
This year, opposing squads have captured 9.4 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics (reducing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has tallied a measly 19.4 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 25.1 minutes per game last year.
Khris Middleton has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Bucks.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.