Khris Middleton Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has attempted 12.4 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.
As it relates to scoring, the Bucks's stellar 116.9 points per game with the home court advantage comes in as the 6th-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 40.0% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) against the Nets, making this a positive matchup.
The Bucks are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nets).
Among all players in the league, Khris Middleton measures in the 85th percentile for free throws sunk while playing on the road, putting up a monstrous 3.0 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (86th percentile).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Bucks rank 4thworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has snagged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (lengthening possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Khris Middleton figures to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories due to playing away from hom in this game.