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Khris Middleton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-122/+100).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Khris Middleton has averaged 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's averaged in all games this season.This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 16.2 points per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 25 games away from home.The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).On their home court, the Philadelphia 76ers have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In comparison to last year's 15.4 rate, Khris Middleton's shots have regressed this year to 13.0 per game.In comparison to his full-year rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) fouls per home game, Khris Middleton's rate of personal fouls has spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) per game over the last 5 games playing at home.The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the 76ers).As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 2nd-worst in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home, totaling just 20.2 foul shot attempts per game.
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