Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2023

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Khris Middleton

NBA · Player Props

Khris Middleton

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 22, 2023

Updated Apr 22, 2023 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Khris Middleton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Khris Middleton has converted 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from three over the course of the year while on the road.
Khris Middleton has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.3 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The matchup against Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Khris Middleton has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
Khris Middleton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance across the board.

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