Kevin Knox II Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Kevin Knox II

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Knox II

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Knox II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (losing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).
Among all players in the league, Kevin Knox II registers in the 95th percentile for foul-shot efficiency with a an exceptional 93.8% rate this year.
Kevin Knox II will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to raise stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have scored 15.1 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Magic, creating a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Detroit Pistons.
Over the last 10 games when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (11th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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