Kevin Knox II Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Kevin Knox II

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Knox II

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 7:07 PM EST

Analysis

Kevin Knox II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Kevin Knox II slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, totaling just 1.1 fouls per game playing at home this year.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the fastest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
When playing on the road, the Spurs have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With respect to scoring, the Pistons's lackluster 110.4 points per game when playing at home places 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a good one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have tallied the most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (14.4).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted 25.2 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

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