Kevin Knox II Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Kevin Knox II

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Knox II

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Utah Jazz vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Knox II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kevin Knox II has attempted 4.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Kevin Knox II has tallied 21.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have averaged 34.9% on threes (10th-worst in the league) vs. the Jazz, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Favors Under

In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons.
The Utah Jazz have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Jazz have the home court advantage, opposing teams have attempted a massive 25.4 free throws per game this year (5th-most in the NBA).
Kevin Knox II will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production for all stats.

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