Kevin Knox II Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Kevin Knox II

NBA · Player Props

Kevin Knox II

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:16 AM EST

Analysis

Kevin Knox II Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; their opposition has compiled the 6th-lowest three rate in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (31.9%).
The 10th-speediest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Kevin Knox II will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to boost player production across the board.

Favors Under

Kevin Knox II has attempted 3.4 shots per game playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 15th percentile among all players in the league.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
This year when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 25.0 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

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