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Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies

Kevin Durant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+114/-157).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kevin Durant has compiled 28.1 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.

Kevin Durant has successfully made 49.0% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the league, Kevin Durant ranks in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 36.4 minutes per game at home this year.

The Suns have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team.

The matchup against Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.5).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 7thworst in in the league on their home court with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have brought down 10.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

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