Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs New York Knicks · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 14, 2025 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has converted 2.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keon Johnson has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.2% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (6th-most in the league) against the Knicks, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
When it comes to offense, the Nets's feeble 103.8 points per game on their home court places worst in the league this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Nets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace away offense in the league this year (the Knicks).

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