Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Keon Johnson has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nets rank 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Keon Johnson has sunk 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.6 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Nets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Minnesota is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have averaged the least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The Brooklyn Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from competing against the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Keon Johnson will likely see a decline in production for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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