Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has sunk 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Nets are expected to see a spike in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-speediest tempo team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
The Nets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Keon Johnson has sunk 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile).
As it relates to offense, the Nets's poor 105.2 points per game measures as the fewest in the league this year.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have scored 15.1 points per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks, labeling this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.

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