Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 6, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 7:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made in all games this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to boost possessions for the Nets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets rank 2nd-best in in the league while at home with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Keon Johnson has successfully made 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Keon Johnson should see a spike in production for all stats as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
As it relates to offense, the Brooklyn Nets's lackluster 103.4 points per game playing at home comes in as the lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for threes; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the lowest three rate in the league this year (23.6%).
The 3rd-slowest pace team in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The matchup against Toronto may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Raptors are on the road (5th-least in the NBA).

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