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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Johnson has attempted 6.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

The matchup against Minnesota is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have averaged the 4th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.6).

The Nets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Johnson has converted 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's made overall this year.

Keon Johnson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Johnson has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.

When it comes to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's subpar 105.1 points per game rates weakest in the league this year.

The Nets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Brooklyn Nets.

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the league).

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