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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Brooklyn Nets

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Johnson has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from three in all games this season.

Keon Johnson has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's tallied overall this season.

With respect to threes, the Brooklyn Nets's remarkable 14.0 made threes per game when playing away from home rates 6th-best in the league this year.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, branding this as a strong matchup.

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Nets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Johnson has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Keon Johnson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all facets of the game.

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