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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/26/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Johnson has converted 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's sunk in all games this year.

The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which should raise possessions for the Nets.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Keon Johnson has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Keon Johnson is expected to see an increase in effectiveness across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Johnson has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Nets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have tallied 4.3 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors, branding this as a tough matchup.

The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Brooklyn Nets.

The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).

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