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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/24/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs Dallas Mavericks

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Johnson has attempted 13.5 shots per game over the last 15 games playing at home, 2.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Keon Johnson has made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's made overall this season playing at home.

The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for threes; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).

The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Nets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Johnson has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.

The Brooklyn Nets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the home team this year.

The most sluggish tempo team in the league this year has been the Nets.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.

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