Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 22, 2025

Updated Mar 23, 2025 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has made 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
The Nets have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year as it relates to treys.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 6th-speediest tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).
Keon Johnson has made 87.5% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.1% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
The matchup against Indiana may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Keon Johnson will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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