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Keon Johnson

Keon Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keon Johnson has converted 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.

The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to three-pointers.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have posted 19.0 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a good matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.

Keon Johnson has sunk 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Keon Johnson has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The Nets rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Keon Johnson will likely suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

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