Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 20, 2025

Updated Mar 21, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has converted 2.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA away from home this year as it relates to three-pointers.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have posted 19.0 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a good matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games on their home court, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Brooklyn Nets.
Keon Johnson has sunk 87.5% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.3% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Nets rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keon Johnson will likely suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

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