Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Keon Johnson has made 2.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the net overall this season.
Keon Johnson figures to see a spike in output across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Keon Johnson comes in at the 16th percentile for shooting efficiency on his home court with a weak 36.6% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Keon Johnson slots into the 91st percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Brooklyn Nets's poor 103.0 points per game with the home court advantage settles in as the lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Lakers is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 6th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

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