Keon Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2025

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Keon Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Keon Johnson

G · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 6, 2025

Updated Mar 7, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Keon Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keon Johnson has attempted 6.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Brooklyn Nets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Keon Johnson has sunk 95.0% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 13.8% higher than he's converted overall this season.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
Keon Johnson will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Keon Johnson has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (90th percentile).
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have shot 21.6% on 3-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Warriors, creating a difficult matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-slowest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Warriors).

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